Reply to: Brexit: No talks with the UK before clear withdrawal terms, says France

[shaunbhoy]

the UK just doesn't have the capacity to meaningfully do both at the same time. Anyone who suggests that it does is either intentionally misleading their audience or doesn't understand the extent of the work required and our current paucity of negotiators.

And pray tell us what leads you to believe you somehow have insider knowledge of this?

Let me guess, you are someone's PA in the Foreign Office.....

[scooterscot]

And why would it be an issue for them? That's the point. They're also not saying "Oh I hope those Scots get to stay in the EU". They simply don't give a tulip because for the most part it doesn't affect anyone else. It is a British issue. I'm fairly sure the average German man on the German street wouldn't suddenly up his interest if some other country decided to bail out.

Which is why the EU project is doomed.

We agree except I disagree w.r.t to the EU, I say it'll only make the EU stronger. You always must protect the many, not the few. That thinking belongs with Star Trek, and let's face it many brexiters are in deep space with their thinking.

It is encouraging the union thinks as a whole. In the U.K it is only ever London. That'll never work in the long run. I'll wager the UK project breaks apart first!

[chopper]

Exactly.
It's clear speaking with folks here Brexit is a non-issue

And why would it be an issue for them? That's the point. They're also not saying "Oh I hope those Scots get to stay in the EU". They simply don't give a tulip because for the most part it doesn't affect anyone else. It is a British issue. I'm fairly sure the average German man on the German street wouldn't suddenly up his interest if some other country decided to bail out.

Which is why the EU project is doomed. The vision that we all become one big nation doesn't work, because Europeans identify themselves with their own country's nationality first and that is what is important. Being railroaded into becoming European rather than British, German, French, Irish, Italian or Greek isn't going down particularly well. That Brexit is a non-issue in Germany is proof of that. It also means the man on the Frankfurt omnibus has no particular wish to dish out a Brexit punishment either.

[scooterscot]

French and Germans are more concerned about elections right now, Brexit is not a major topic in Europe despite our constant fascination for the subject. They also have the Greek debt crisis to deal with in July so dont expect Brexit to go very fast until at least October this year when the German elections are over.
Asking for the money to be sorted out before the trade negotiations is just good housekeeping for EU as they are well aware that a trade deal is never going to get through by March 2019.
The divorce deal only requires 72% of countries to agree the trade deal requires 100% of countries.

Exactly.
It's clear speaking with folks here Brexit is a non-issue, no one cares but the Brits here. Greece is a rounding error, pocket change, a side project if you will. The media seems to be blissfully ignoring how well Italy and Portugal, and even Spain (Spain Economy Minister Says Growth May Exceed 2.5% For Next 2-4 Years) are doing at the minute. Numbers that even the UK might envy.

Only bad news is reported. Brexit is in the news a lot eh?

[The_Equalizer]

The point is, the EU aren't going to force our hand on the separation deal, agree to a vast sum of money of liabilities and sign the cheque before they start talking trade. Instead a substantial separation deal can be agreed in principal, along with the transitional trade deal which allows us to keep our current benefits (which you'd expect for all that money) whilst we discuss a future trade partnership.

Then like I say over and over, we have GE2020 and that will change everything as it will allow an incoming government (most likely a Theresa May led Tory government) to set up its UK-EU agenda via its pre-election manifesto.

The manifesto will set out remaining in the single market. The SNP, in its anti-Tory guise, will further demand its referendum on the basis that the wicked English Tory government are trying to force Scottish to stay in the single market against the clear wishes of the British people.

There is that slight feeling that the tide has turned for the SNP.

[chopper]

The point is, the EU aren't going to force our hand on the separation deal, agree to a vast sum of money of liabilities and sign the cheque before they start talking trade. Instead a substantial separation deal can be agreed in principal, along with the transitional trade deal which allows us to keep our current benefits (which you'd expect for all that money) whilst we discuss a future trade partnership.

Then like I say over and over, we have GE2020 and that will change everything as it will allow an incoming government (most likely a Theresa May led Tory government) to set up its UK-EU agenda via its pre-election manifesto.

The manifesto will set out remaining in the single market. The SNP, in its anti-Tory guise, will further demand its referendum on the basis that the wicked English Tory government are trying to force Scottish to stay in the single market against the clear wishes of the British people.

[motoukenin]

So much for the UK calling the shots. Speaks volumes of things to come.

What's harder than diamond? Theresa Mayhem's Brexit of course.





source: Brexit: No talks with the UK before clear withdrawal terms, says France - BBC News

French and Germans are more concerned about elections right now, Brexit is not a major topic in Europe despite our constant fascination for the subject. They also have the Greek debt crisis to deal with in July so dont expect Brexit to go very fast until at least October this year when the German elections are over.
Asking for the money to be sorted out before the trade negotiations is just good housekeeping for EU as they are well aware that a trade deal is never going to get through by March 2019.
The divorce deal only requires 72% of countries to agree the trade deal requires 100% of countries.

[Lambert Simnel]

I don't think that is actually a change in position. They are indicating there is a clear sequence, but are not going to be pernickety about completing the separation arrangements before starting on the future relationship discussion. It's all a bit of a red herring anyway - the UK just doesn't have the capacity to meaningfully do both at the same time. Anyone who suggests that it does is either intentionally misleading their audience or doesn't understand the extent of the work required and our current paucity of negotiators.

[chopper]

Now the EU says we can talk trade before we finalise the divorce...

EU sets out Brexit negotiating strategy - BBC News

The EU is simply reminding its member states who really calls the shots.

[Lambert Simnel]

Merkel, Tusk and Barnier have all said the same. Indicating it's just Hollande saying this is somewhat disingenuous.

Frankly, the UK doesn't currently have the negotiators to do either the exit or the new trade agreement, so it was always just a gambit to suggest we wanted to do both at the same time.

[NigelJK]

Ah, so France now speaks for the EU?

[darmstadt]

And Nick Griffin.

I believe that he is actually emigrating to Hungary (Asotthalom, which has banned openly supporting same-sex marriage, as well as building mosques and the wearing of headscarves). Also home to Jim Dowson, well he's in Budapest

[Bee]

You mean something along the lines of a economic community with a common market and customs union?

The idea has merit

Yes.

[Benny]

... and join the UK...hey wait,... hang on...it's not a bad idea after all.

You mean something along the lines of a economic community with a common market and customs union?

The idea has merit

[northernladyuk]

That's what they said about Brexit.........and Trump.........

And Nick Griffin.