Reply to: Will He? Won't He?

[DealorNoDeal]

It's not the deal has changed so much rather than it is the deal is now being proposed by a man. Never send a woman to do a mans job.

And people say the Tories are losing their conservative touch.

Also, a turd improves merely with the passage of time. Doesn't smell so bad etc.

It may seem like something new but it's really just the same turd but older.

[scooterscot]

It's not the deal has changed so much rather than it is the deal is now being proposed by a man. Never send a woman to do a mans job.

And people say the Tories are losing their conservative touch.

[Old Greg]

If the deal goes through, a GE would no longer be about Brexit, making TBP largely irrelevant, and I would expect the Tories to win a decent overall majority.

They'll rebrand as The Continuity Brexit Party, fighting against Johnson's Surrender Deal for a Clean Brexit.

[DealorNoDeal]

If the deal goes through and Brexit is done and dusted the Leave voters will be drawn to Boris as the hero of the day, while the remain voters will be largely resigned with their faith and vote more or less along the pre-referendum party lines. Resulting in sizeable advantage for the Tories.

If the deal goes through, a GE would no longer be about Brexit, making TBP largely irrelevant, and I would expect the Tories to win a decent overall majority.

[sal]

By the same token, if Labour blocks the deal, they can expect to be annihilated in the GE

Not necessarily.

If the deal goes through and Brexit is done and dusted the Leave voters will be drawn to Boris as the hero of the day, while the remain voters will be largely resigned with their faith and vote more or less along the pre-referendum party lines. Resulting in sizeable advantage for the Tories.

If the deal is voted down and there is A50 extension followed by GE, Boris will have to campaign for his deal, losing leave voters to TBP and Labour's softer Brexit (whatever that means) and losing all but the most hard core Tory remain voters. Leaving him lack of majority in terms of votes, how much the impact in terms of seats will be is hard to quantify.

What Labour is getting from that is slim chance of lead role in a perverse coalition with SNP and/or Lib-Dem. They have zero chance of parliamentary majority any time soon.

[BrilloPad]

And I thought this thread was about dieing in a ditch....

[BR14]

Haven't you been paying any attention whatsoever?

nah, got bored after the first month or so..

[Platypus]

what GE?

Haven't you been paying any attention whatsoever?

[BR14]

By the same token, if Labour blocks the deal, they can expect to be annihilated in the GE

what GE?

[Platypus]

No, because most MPs don't give a toss about the Country or it's population and are only concerned about re-election. And if the deal goes through, the Tories will cream the votes in the coming GE.

By the same token, if Labour blocks the deal, they can expect to be annihilated in the GE

[Paddy]

Earlier today SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon claimed Labour would be secretly ‘happy’ to see the new withdrawal agreement go through, tweeting that although they will officially oppose the deal, the party will give a ‘nod’ to rebels to ensure the numbers will pass.

Read more: Could Labour push Borish Johnson's new Brexit deal over the line? | Metro News

Twitter: Metro (@MetroUK) on Twitter | Facebook: Metro - Home | Facebook

[Old Greg]

Who knows?

But my guess is yes. They seem close on numbers so should be able to twist the last couple of arms.

[Mordac]

Too close to call. I watch with

Hopefully it won't clash with the rugby. I can't see my arse moving too far from the sofa tomorrow...

[sal]

No, because most MPs don't give a toss about the Country or it's population and are only concerned about re-election. And if the deal goes through, the Tories will cream the votes in the coming GE.

[BrilloPad]

Draw. Winner to be decided by BoJo and Korbyn in a game of wiff waff.