So, who IS going to win the next election?

[Flashman]

Doggy Styles;1876794]No, the saddest thing of all is that some people believe that nonsense.

Following the implantation of the Treaty of Lisbon in 2014 EU Parliament will decide the following using Qualified Majority Voting.

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Voting in the Council of the European Union - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

UK Parliament?

Pasty Tax
BBC licence fee
errrrm ?

[DodgyAgent]

The saddest thing of all is how little it means who wins the next General Election.

Quite how you can make that assertion is beyond me.
It is only a small matter of one party leaving the country in a state of economic ruin and the other one in a healthy economic state.

[DodgyAgent]

The Conservatives lost in 2010.

Who won then?

[Mich the Tester]

Quite how you can make that assertion is beyond me.
It is only a small matter of one party leaving the country in a state of economic ruin and handing out lots of benefits and public sector jobs and the other one not handing out more benefits or public sector jobs but leaving the country in a healthy economic state.

ftfy, but it does complicate things a bit for CMD.

[DodgyAgent]

ftfy, but it does complicate things a bit for CMD.

You can't have too much context

[DirtyDog]

Who won then?

The coalition of losers.

[Mich the Tester]

Who won then?

Not the Snot Goblin. Rejoice.

[DirtyDog]

I also cannot imagine the British public putting up with a Lib/Lab coalition

It's nothing to do with what the British public will put up with - if the maths and the will is there, then that's what will happen. If the British public are unhappy about it, then they will have a chance in 2020 to express their opinion.

[Platypus]

1. UKIP take lots of votes off The Tories. Labour get in. Economy screwed.
2. Tories continue to move further right wing to head off the perceived threat of a small but very vocal minority of UKIPists. Voting conservative becomes less palatable to the sensible moderate majority who stay at home. Labour wins. Economy screwed.
3. The LibDems, no longer the party that it was safe to vote for because there was no chance they'd get into power, lose a lot of support, mostly to labour. Labour wins. Economy screwed.

Probably the best hope is that Ed Milliband does or says something so monumentally stupid that even with the combined help of UKIP and the LibDems, he still fails to win the election.

• LibDems will lose votes thanks to 'selling out to the Tories', and many of their seats will go to Labour.
• UKIP won't win many seats, if any, but they will take a lot of votes from Tories, allowing Labour to win several seats.
• SNP are losing credibility for some reason, they'll probably lose seats to Labour.
• Most Labour voters are tribal, and wouldn't change their votes to the Tories under any circumstances.
• There is too much 'good news' coming out, which for many floating voters means the economy is fixed and it's safe to indulge themselves in Labour largesse again.

So it's all looking good for Ed.

Yes, that's my analysis too. Labour will win in any scenario unless they really screw up.

[tomtomagain]

It's nothing to do with what the British public will put up with - if the maths and the will is there, then that's what will happen. If the British public are unhappy about it, then they will have a chance in 2020 to express their opinion.

Very true.

But I can imagine a lot of distaste if the Libs manage to remain in power and the Tories lose.