Germany could lose 1.5 trillion euro immediately if the Euro collapsed: half of that amount by the Bundesbank and half by the rest of German banks.
Germany would become as indebted as Italy, proportionately to GDP.
And that's a conservative estimate.
According to the IfW, a German only Deutschmark would probably rise by 30%, leading to a 17% fall in exports and 7% decline in GDP.
This latter fact shows that Germany has artificially kept interest rates and hence the Euro down, and hence is partially responsible for the (predictable to all but politicians) condition of the PIIGS.
So do the right thing and couph up before we all go down the pan.
Ta very much for listening.
Germany would become as indebted as Italy, proportionately to GDP.
And that's a conservative estimate.
According to the IfW, a German only Deutschmark would probably rise by 30%, leading to a 17% fall in exports and 7% decline in GDP.
This latter fact shows that Germany has artificially kept interest rates and hence the Euro down, and hence is partially responsible for the (predictable to all but politicians) condition of the PIIGS.
So do the right thing and couph up before we all go down the pan.
Ta very much for listening.
Comment