21 - I am confused

[oracleslave]

Keep going until you get bored. Are you happy it is 50-50?

Game 3
Door 2 is a goat. Do you want to swap doors?

Yes.

Am bored. Can we assume I pick Door 3 first and swap to another door and work it out from there?

[TimberWolf]

Yes.

Am bored. Can we assume I pick Door 3 first and swap to another door and work it out from there?

You mean I do all the work?

[oracleslave]

You mean I do all the work?

Isn't that what a quizmaster is paid to do?

[TimberWolf]

Isn't that what a quizmaster is paid to do?

They are usually paid though?

[sasguru]

FFS. Just kill the goat and make some mutton curry. FFS.

[oracleslave]

They are usually paid though?

Add a new task to your timesheet. I'm presuming you are not on the bench.

[oracleslave]

FFS. Just kill the goat and make some mutton curry. FFS.

Sounds preferably to that crappy Aygo I won earlier.

BTW that doll had a nice tach on it. Something you want to share?

[sasguru]

BTW that doll had a nice tach on it. Something you want to share?

Borrowed it from AtW.

[TimberWolf]

Add a new task to your timesheet. I'm presuming you are not on the bench.

What was behid the doors as given at the start:
1. Cgg 2. ggC 3. Cgg 4. gCg 5. ggC 6. gCg 7. ggC 8. Cgg 9. Cgg 10. gCg 11. gCg 12. ggC 13. gCg 14. ggC 15. Cgg

Game 1. You won the car
Game 2. You won the goat
Game 3. You pick door 3 (and will do every game). I reveal door 2 to be a goat. You swap to door 1. You win the car.
Game 4. You pick door 3. I reveal door 1 to be a goat. You swap to door 2. You win the car.
Game 5. You pick door 3. I reveal door 2 to be a goat. You swap to door 1. You win the goat.
Game 6. You pick door 3. I reveal door 1 to be a goat. You swap to door 2. You win the car.
Game 7. You pick door 3. I reveal door 2 to be a goat. You swap to door 1. You win the goat.
Game 8. You pick door 3. I reveal door 2 to be a goat. You swap to door 1. You win the car.
Game 9. You pick door 3. I reveal door 2 to be a goat. You swap to door 1. You win the car.
Game 10. You pick door 3. I reveal door 1 to be a goat. You swap to door 2. You win the car.
Game 11. You pick door 3. I reveal door 1 to be a goat. You swap to door 2. You win the car.
Game 12. You pick door 3. I reveal door 2 to be a goat. You swap to door 1. You win the goat.
Game 13. You pick door 3. I reveal door 1 to be a goat. You swap to door 2. You win the car.
Game 14. You pick door 3. I reveal door 2 to be a goat. You swap to door 1. You win the goat.
Game 15. You pick door 3. I reveal door 2 to be a goat. You swap to door 2. You win the goat.


After 15 games you won 6 goats and 9 cars. That’s more than average (50/50) and more than you’d have won if you didn’t swap (5 cars on average, although if you’d always have chosen and stuck with door 3, you’d have won in this instance: also 5 cars )

[bobhope]

Tune in tomorrow when we do an airplane on a treadmill: will it take off?