Typhoon Mitag (Philippines)
Typhoon Mitag is currently a CAT2 storm heading directly towards the Philippines main Island.
However the GFS (a weather forecasting model) indicates that this storm will reach CAT4 strength before landfall on Sunday. (Katrina was CAT3 at landfall) Right now I do not question the intensity forecast as environmental conditions seem to be almost ideal – (this is not in a sheared environment) and SST are 29c or above along the projected track.
Anyway Landfall, I predict will be strong CAT3 due to interaction with landmasses etc
Ether way I am regarding this as a “Chaseable” storm and so I plan to intercept this one using the same approach that I used for Typhoon Krosa during October in Taiwan.
This will be an interesting intercept in so far as the time scales are so short (given the distance) and that I HAVE to be back in London by Tuesday therefore I need to make London to London in 80 hours (with a typhoon in between).
I plan on travelling real light (most of my USA hurricane comms equipment) wont work over there anyway.
I do have to talk with my boss in the morning – but once I clear this I will bust for the airport and arrive in Manila late Saturday afternoon.
CH4 are funding the trip (and me) for a forthcoming programme (Cutting Edge)
Roll on plan B, I was not doing much this weekend anyway
Typhoon Mitag is currently a CAT2 storm heading directly towards the Philippines main Island.
However the GFS (a weather forecasting model) indicates that this storm will reach CAT4 strength before landfall on Sunday. (Katrina was CAT3 at landfall) Right now I do not question the intensity forecast as environmental conditions seem to be almost ideal – (this is not in a sheared environment) and SST are 29c or above along the projected track.
Anyway Landfall, I predict will be strong CAT3 due to interaction with landmasses etc
Ether way I am regarding this as a “Chaseable” storm and so I plan to intercept this one using the same approach that I used for Typhoon Krosa during October in Taiwan.
This will be an interesting intercept in so far as the time scales are so short (given the distance) and that I HAVE to be back in London by Tuesday therefore I need to make London to London in 80 hours (with a typhoon in between).
I plan on travelling real light (most of my USA hurricane comms equipment) wont work over there anyway.
I do have to talk with my boss in the morning – but once I clear this I will bust for the airport and arrive in Manila late Saturday afternoon.
CH4 are funding the trip (and me) for a forthcoming programme (Cutting Edge)
Roll on plan B, I was not doing much this weekend anyway
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