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Vote Corbyn ! Save this country ! -
“Brexit is having a wee in the middle of the room at a house party because nobody is talking to you, and then complaining about the smell.”Comment
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He supports losers. He supported Corbyn who not only failed to win the GE but has now been suspended from his own party, just imagine what is going to happen to Trump?Originally posted by TheGreenBastard View Post“Brexit is having a wee in the middle of the room at a house party because nobody is talking to you, and then complaining about the smell.”Comment
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Is the USA unusual in that the incumbent stays in power for several months after the election, or is the UK unusual that they are out of #10 typically the day after the election?
I was considering that if Trump loses and accepts it, he's still got quite some time to use the office as a soapbox.Originally posted by MaryPoppinsOriginally posted by vetranComment
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He will never accept itComment
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Indulge me.Originally posted by fullyautomatix View Post
Interesting, polls taken a bit of a lurch to the red - several states switched in the last day: US election 2020 polls: Who is ahead - Trump or Biden? - BBC NewsOriginally posted by MaryPoppinsOriginally posted by vetranComment
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You need to be careful with recent polls. A lot of low-quality GOP pollsters dropped polls in the last day or two with the goal of shifting the mood. Depending on which poll aggregator you look to, these polls will be reflected or not. For example, you can't trust the RCP average. The reality is that the polls haven't shifted at all in the last 2-3 weeks.Originally posted by d000hg View PostComment
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They've been moving back and forth on 538. I had assumed the BBC aggregator would be fairly reliable, as this is an area they are still good but I will admit I hadn't looked into it.
Do they do exit polls in USA like we get? Maybe they should get Prof Curtis out there, he could make an absolute fortune.Originally posted by MaryPoppinsOriginally posted by vetranComment
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Right, I think 538 has been around 87%-90% Biden for some time, fluctuating within small margins - it explicitly accounts for poll biases, where possible, and puts a very limited weight on the lower quality pollsters.Originally posted by d000hg View Post
There are no reliable exit polls in the US. You probably won't know the results until well into the night and, for some swing states (e.g., PA), probably not for days, especially with the volume of mail-in votes. Florida counts quickly so that will give a good early indication as a large swing state with 29 electoral college votes.Comment
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