Originally posted by b0redom
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"Never argue with stupid people, they will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience". Mark Twain -
Originally posted by scooterscot View PostThe author even fails to mention the steaming turd in the room. Debt. Specially corporate debt. It's is at record all time highs, FTSE 100 businesses failing because left right and centre. Not a week goes by another is in the crosshairs.. The writing is literally on the wall and being ignored. Amazing times.
The risk is obviously that interest rates may rise. However I think this would only be a problem if the debt was financed by variable interest rates. Which it is in the case of short term debt from banks. However if the debt was created by corporates issuing bonds to investors then the coupon payable on the bond is interest-rate independent. I don't know in what form most of the recent rise in corporate debt is formed - do you?Comment
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DJIA -831.83 @ this moment.
Not bad for a one day decline and it's not market close yet. Guess stock buy-backs weren't such a good idea after all.Comment
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Originally posted by GJABS View PostCorporate debt may be high, but interest rates are low.
The risk is obviously that interest rates may rise. However I think this would only be a problem if the debt was financed by variable interest rates. Which it is in the case of short term debt from banks. However if the debt was created by corporates issuing bonds to investors then the coupon payable on the bond is interest-rate independent. I don't know in what form most of the recent rise in corporate debt is formed - do you?
YouTube Videos Sources - Google Docs"Never argue with stupid people, they will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience". Mark TwainComment
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City boys this morning be like, don't open the market!
"Never argue with stupid people, they will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience". Mark TwainComment
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Originally posted by Hobosapien View Post"First they ignore you. Then they ignore you. Then they ignore you. ..."
FTSE 100 back up to over 7244. The only thing head and shoulders is good for is dandruff.
Keeping my eyes peeled for a black swan. Then we can talk stock market crash.
"Never argue with stupid people, they will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience". Mark TwainComment
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Copper looking very bearish indeed. Yesterday's support is todays resistance, H&S forming over the weekly trend is indicating a plummet in price by mid-March next year, with continuation equalling to a loss of 80% from the ATH. Why look at copper? For whatever reason a drop in copper prices always precedes a recession. Perhaps the world is feeling smartphone saturation. Got to love how the H&S forms leading into 2007 - couldn't be any clearer and now the same thing is happening again.
"Never argue with stupid people, they will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience". Mark TwainComment
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Originally posted by scooterscot View PostCopper looking very bearish indeed. Yesterday's support is todays resistance, H&S forming over the weekly trend is indicating a plummet in price by mid-March next year, with continuation equalling to a loss of 80% from the ATH. Why look at copper? For whatever reason a drop in copper prices always precedes a recession. Perhaps the world is feeling smartphone saturation. Got to love how the H&S forms leading into 2007 - couldn't be any clearer and now the same thing is happening again.
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Ah yes the bastion of British industry that is the fishing community accounting for less than 0.5% of GDP. Most of which is exported back to the EU anyway.
I predict great price reductions in the price of fish!"Never argue with stupid people, they will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience". Mark TwainComment
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Originally posted by scooterscot View PostCopper looking very bearish indeed. Yesterday's support is todays resistance, H&S forming over the weekly trend is indicating a plummet in price by mid-March next year, with continuation equalling to a loss of 80% from the ATH. Why look at copper? For whatever reason a drop in copper prices always precedes a recession. Perhaps the world is feeling smartphone saturation. Got to love how the H&S forms leading into 2007 - couldn't be any clearer and now the same thing is happening again.
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