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Tory Majority best odds now 1/16

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    #81
    Betfair currently gives 1/10000000000 that there will be a majority of ******* elected...

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      #82
      All the smart money is waiting on what Suity says.
      The Chunt of Chunts.

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        #83
        Originally posted by BrilloPad View Post
        Is that the same as a working majority?
        A majority is 1 or more. A working majority is a bit more than that to allow for deaths, defections, rebellion, but would probably also count DUP and UUP seats in the Tory corner.

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          #84
          Oh dear, I sense a pattern.

          I'm seriously tempted to not vote Tory. What I'd like to see is the Tories elected with an absolutely minimal majority of, say, 10-20, so that May is fatally undermined for her stupidity in: a) calling an election; and b) thinking that she was going to win on that manifesto. Mmmm, how best to achieve this...

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            #85
            Originally posted by jamesbrown View Post
            Oh dear, I sense a pattern.

            I'm seriously tempted to not vote Tory. What I'd like to see is the Tories elected with an absolutely minimal majority of, say, 10-20, so that May is fatally undermined for her stupidity in: a) calling an election; and b) thinking that she was going to win on that manifesto. Mmmm, how best to achieve this...
            Yup.

            +1.
            The Chunt of Chunts.

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              #86
              Originally posted by jamesbrown View Post
              Oh dear, I sense a pattern.

              I'm seriously tempted to not vote Tory. What I'd like to see is the Tories elected with an absolutely minimal majority of, say, 10-20, so that May is fatally undermined for her stupidity in: a) calling an election; and b) thinking that she was going to win on that manifesto. Mmmm, how best to achieve this...
              Do you live in a marginal and if so who is it between?

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                #87
                Originally posted by northernladyuk View Post
                Do you live in a marginal and if so who is it between?
                Indeed, I do. The incumbent is a decent chap. On the downside, he's Labour.

                There may be some teeth gritting on 8th...

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                  #88
                  Originally posted by jamesbrown View Post
                  Indeed, I do. The incumbent is a decent chap. On the downside, he's Labour.

                  There may be some teeth gritting on 8th...
                  You can do it.

                  I did with my postal vote...
                  "You’re just a bad memory who doesn’t know when to go away" JR

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                    #89
                    £10K on a Tory majority now gets you £2.5K on Betfair, if it happens.
                    My subconscious is annoying. It's got a mind of its own.

                    Comment


                      #90
                      Originally posted by northernladyuk View Post
                      A majority is 1 or more. A working majority is a bit more than that to allow for deaths, defections, rebellion, but would probably also count DUP and UUP seats in the Tory corner.
                      At the moment the majority is 12. 330 Conservative. Other parties = 318. Speaker + vacant account for other 2.

                      However, the working majority is 17. Conservative(330) + Ulster unionists(2) + Speaker(1) = 333. Other parties = 316. 1 seat is vacant.

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