Why have our resident data scientists not predicted brexit?
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Data science and predictability of outcomes.
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Originally posted by minestrone View PostWhy have our resident data scientists not predicted brexit?Comment
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So, I work with people who spend more time telling you about their ability and qualifications on machine learning than making accurate predictions.
I'm kind of going to say much of this is pseudo science.Comment
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There's deterministic and probabilistic. Deterministic requires *real* facts with which to work with. Since they were not presented during the campaign...
So we're left with probabilistic. Probabilistic requires some similar past event with which to make a prediction. This was the first EU referendum we've had so... we are where we are."Never argue with stupid people, they will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience". Mark TwainComment
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Originally posted by minestrone View PostSo, I work with people who spend more time telling you about their ability and qualifications on machine learning than making accurate predictions.
I'm kind of going to say much of this is pseudo science.
love ASSAlways forgive your enemies; nothing annoys them so much.Comment
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Originally posted by scooterscot View PostThere's deterministic and probabilistic. Deterministic requires *real* facts with which to work with. Since they were not presented during the campaign...
So we're left with probabilistic. Probabilistic requires some similar past event with which to make a prediction. This was the first EU referendum we've had so... we are where we are.Comment
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Where did I say probabilistic prediction requires historical data? I said it requires a similar event. You could create such an event with which to make your prediction. Stochastic processes don't care for time.
Deterministic prediction never makes use historical data either. That's a major slip up in education that is. They measure the likelihood of events through measurement of some quantity."Never argue with stupid people, they will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience". Mark TwainComment
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