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It won't be definite until all the states have finalised the result - for George W, that was 36 days after the election ended.
The last three elections have "called" the winner around 4am UK time as soon as the west coast voting closes, even though the final total of votes may not have come in for a few days afterwards. If there are enough states where it's not going to be that close, and enough college votes to take one or other candidate past the magic 270 mark, then it could well be around that time. If the key states are close that they need to actually count the votes properly then it could be a while - John Kerry conceded defeat the following day, but Romney and McCain conceded around 5am UK time.
So - anytime from 4am tomorrow morning up to December is the answer.
The winner needs to get 270 electoral colleague votes and they depend on the so called swing states.
college
It depends on what you call a swing state - up until this year, it's widely been assumed that the republicans would need to win two out of Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania to stand any chance. But that was all predicated on Michigan remaining democrat. However, if MI swings to the republicans (they have a high proportion of white, non-college educated men) then that would mean that the republicans only need one from OH, PA, FL.
But nobody up until this year had described MI as a swing state because of the demographic which logically falls to the democrats - until Trump. Likewise, AZ has never been considered a swing state, but might well go blue rather than red this time round because of the changing population.
Historically, it has been around 4am our time, but typically between 3-5am. However, it really depends; obviously, 2000 (Bush/Gore) was much later due to the fight over Florida.
I reckon the exit poll in Pennsylvania @1am GMT will call it for Hillary Clinton and that she will have Presidency in the bag.
Obviously the official result will be out few hours later but fairly sure Trump will not accept it. And he will start looking at various ways to bring about legal challenges.
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