Latest TNS Poll result!

[The_Equalizer]

AKA coffin dodgers - to quote an MP whose name I forget.

Completely selfish of them since they're unlikely to see any 'benefits' of being out of the EU in their remaining lifetime.

Bit like Salmond and Sturgeon trying to break up the UK then?

[vetran]

Never claimed jsa in my entire life.

Don't worry when the EU tanks and you are on your uppers PC will help you with the forms.

[scooterscot]

Don't worry when the EU tanks and you are on your uppers PC will help you with the forms.

Appreciated. Do they pay cash or just wire the money straight into your account?

[DodgyAgent]

UK - I'm going to apply for a German passport too at some point. Always wanted two passports.

What's the other one going to be?

[DimPrawn]

What's the other one going to be?

Narnia.

[scooterscot]

What's the other one going to be?

[scooterscot]

Narnia.

Think outside the box, so they say. What do you do? Find yourself another box.

[scooterscot]

Yes, but they're mostly old timers, who are far more likely to vote and vote leave!

Would that be the old timers living in Spain? Bit like turkeys voting for Christmas, init?

[PurpleGorilla]

That is an important point.

With the general election the only poll that was vaguely accurate was the one taken after people had voted physically at polling stations.

Every other poll whether online, on the doorstep or telephone was inaccurate.

Exit polls are usually the most accurate.

[jamesbrown]

There's still tremendous scope that all these polls are wrong. When you look at the raw numbers, including from this poll, it's still very evenly balanced with a large fraction of undecided voters that typically opt for the status quo. In other word, these headline polling figures are based on modelling and, specifically, turnout modelling.

I'm not trying to dampen the mood of my fellow Brexiters, but we need to be realistic about this. A Bremain vote is still the most likely outcome. There are three phone polls due in the next 48hrs, and I would expect these to show a different picture. Nevertheless, it is also quite clear that the polls have shifted towards Leave in the last two weeks. This is indisputable, and Hamface will be very worried.

Beyond the polling, I find the reports from Labour heartlands quite convincing. It will all come down to turnout though.

The Labour supporters backing Brexit in Stoke-on-Trent heartland – video | Opinion | The Guardian