The latest ORB phone poll (during Obama visit) and the ICM online poll (after Obama visit) both show a slight improvement for Leave. Perhaps a bit premature to call it, as there's often a lag, but there doesn't seem to have been a decisive swing to Remain following Obama/HMT dodgy dossier/Bremain propaganda leaflet, other than for the psychology (arrogance? ) of the Bremainers. Should be clearer in the next 1-2 weeks.
The betting odds have shifted slightly towards Remain post-Obama, but that's an indication of what people expect to happen, not what they will vote to happen (there has always been a consistent lead for Remain w/r to what people expect to happen, even if they're voting Leave).
The betting odds have shifted slightly towards Remain post-Obama, but that's an indication of what people expect to happen, not what they will vote to happen (there has always been a consistent lead for Remain w/r to what people expect to happen, even if they're voting Leave).
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