May admits Brexit was just a practical joke

[Yorkie62]

That’s not true, it’s not a complete unknown, even in a No Deal situation.

There are available:
- rolled-over Trade agreements with Norway, Faroes, etc. We know from the text of these agreements that they haven’t actually been rolled over (Fox lied) and they are worse than the existing agreements through the EU.
- tariff schedules set out by the U.K. Andy W's mums best guess is available based on the tariffs and existing quantities of imports/exports to determine the impact on the U.K. overall.
- both the EU and the U.K. have issues substantive preparedness notices on what No Deal would entail by sector

Industry by industry, there is a lot of information out there. Fishing, for example - here’s a handy chart breaking down exactly what is required for the fishing industry after Brexit:

FTFY

[BlasterBates]

Well seems like the Brexiteers will reject Brexit later today. Ironic isn't, most of the Remainers in government will be supporting it. So in spite of Remainers trying to push through Brexit, the Brexiteers will stop it.

This is why debate is completely pointless.

[BlasterBates]

Brexit is like Camelot.

[meridian]

FTFY

No, not a guess. We have existing tariff schedules through the EU, we have our new tariff schedules, we have records of quantities and source/destination countries down to schedule lines. At a U.K. level the impact can be analysed and calculated.

At an individual level, companies know what they import / export and where from / to. As above, they have the old tariff schedules and the new ones. For their destination countries they have those schedules for MFN.

[Yorkie62]

No, not a guess. We have existing tariff schedules through the EU, we have our new tariff schedules, we have records of quantities and source/destination countries down to schedule lines. At a U.K. level the impact can be analysed and calculated.

At an individual level, companies know what they import / export and where from / to. As above, they have the old tariff schedules and the new ones. For their destination countries they have those schedules for MFN.

and the overall impact on the UK, with cited factual supporting evidence is.........

[meridian]

and the overall impact on the UK, with cited factual supporting evidence is.........

WTO tariffs in a no-deal Brexit: what the impact would be | LSE BREXIT

The full report is covered in the Journal of Contemporary Social Science, Vol 14(2), and like any academic research if you want the full set of data used then just contact the author.

[Yorkie62]

WTO tariffs in a no-deal Brexit: what the impact would be | LSE BREXIT

The full report is covered in the Journal of Contemporary Social Science, Vol 14(2), and like any academic research if you want the full set of data used then just contact the author.

So you are basing your evidence on an un peer reviewed opinion piece. Any researcher worth their salt would only use peer reviewed papers as valid sources of information and not the views of a someone who is a self proclaimed supported of the EU. Google the author and this information isn't hard to find.

[BlasterBates]

So you are basing your evidence on an un peer reviewed opinion piece. Any researcher worth their salt would only use peer reviewed papers as valid sources of information and not the views of a someone who is a self proclaimed supported of the EU. Google the author and this information isn't hard to find.

based on Lawless, M., and E. Morgenroth, 2019 “The product and sector level impact of a hard Brexit across the EU”, Journal of Contemporary Social Science, Vol 14(2).

In other words it is a peer reviewed paper.

[Yorkie62]

In other words it is a peer reviewed paper.

Sorry that does not make it peer reviewed. From the bottom of the linked article. its a blog not a peer reviewed paper.

This post represents the views of the author and not those of the Brexit blog, nor the LSE. It is based on Lawless, M., and E. Morgenroth, 2019

[meridian]

May admits Brexit was just a practical joke

So you are basing your evidence on an un peer reviewed opinion piece. Any researcher worth their salt would only use peer reviewed papers as valid sources of information and not the views of a someone who is a self proclaimed supported of the EU. Google the author and this information isn't hard to find.

You’re moving the argument.

You said that the impact of Brexit was a complete unknown. I’ve shown you how to calculate the impact, if you want to.

If you have a problem with it being peer reviewed or not (you can follow the link to the source Journal, not just read the blog summary) that’s a different argument.

If you have an issue with the author, then just do the calculations yourself. I’ve given you the methodology, I’m not going to spoon feed you.