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Previously on "Five Reasons the UK Recession Will Get Much Worse"

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  • AtW
    replied
    Originally posted by petergriffin View Post
    It may be a financial disaster but not an economic one. The countries in the Eurozone would have been much worse with their own national currencies.


    It really cracks me up to see such posts.

    You don't know tulip because you've never lived in a country who had tulip currency that can go down massively against reserve currencies (euro is one) in which most goods (food, fuel, etc) are priced.

    I did witness that first hand which is why (plus a few brain cells necessary to make simple calculations) I say categorically that countries that are now in euro and would have dropped out of it (or had their own currencies) would be totally and utterly fooked.

    They'd be fooked because their currencies would drop 4-5 times against USD/EUR, and costs of fuel/food would be crazy high - nobody would lend them after default and they'd have inflation that would make Sir Merv new saint.

    Leave a comment:


  • petergriffin
    replied
    Originally posted by OwlHoot
    1. The eurozone is now an economic disaster, credit stress has returned to Spain and Italy
    It may be a financial disaster but not an economic one. The countries in the Eurozone would have been much worse with their own national currencies. But the Euro is not equipped to resist the severe credit crunch.

    Originally posted by OwlHoot
    If you thought the euro would help Europe, you thought wrong. The Euro made a disaster in Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Greece, and Italy. It's time to abandon that failed idea.
    UK has more external debt to GDP ratio than Greece, Italy, Spain or Portugal:
    World Debt Clocks

    Only Ireland is properly fcuked up.

    Leave a comment:


  • BrilloPad
    replied
    Originally posted by Diver View Post
    and then house prices will rocket and I can offload the last one of my tiresome rental properties without taking a loss?

    Once QE seeps out the price of everthing will rocket. IMO....

    Leave a comment:


  • Diver
    replied
    Originally posted by BrilloPad View Post
    1, 2 and 4 are the same reason. 3 is wrong. 5 is subject to review (no-one believes the construction numbers since the measure was changed) but will not have a big impact.

    When the EURO explodes I think it will be good for Europe and UK.

    In summary I believe we will flatline for another 5 years.
    and then house prices will rocket and I can offload the last one of my tiresome rental properties without taking a loss?

    Leave a comment:


  • OwlHoot
    replied
    Originally posted by BrilloPad View Post

    When the EURO explodes I think it will be good for Europe and UK.

    In summary I believe we will flatline for another 5 years.
    WHS * 2

    Leave a comment:


  • BrilloPad
    replied
    Originally posted by AtW View Post
    I'll use my own search engine and will get back to you once I found appropriate answer...
    Does your search engine take that long?

    Leave a comment:


  • BrilloPad
    replied
    Originally posted by OwlHoot View Post

    Five Reasons the UK Recession Will Get Much Worse

    1. The eurozone is now an economic disaster, credit stress has returned to Spain and Italy

    2. The ECB abandoned the LTRO and is in the midst of huge infighting

    3. UK services took a huge hit and that trend will strengthen

    4. The Eurozone is the UK's largest trading partner and there is no reason for UK exports to the eurozone to rise. In fact, UK exports to the Eurozone, just may collapse.

    5. The better than expected (but still feeble construction numbers) will likely disappoint to the downside soon enough, if not immediately.

    If you thought the euro would help Europe, you thought wrong. The Euro made a disaster in Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Greece, and Italy. It's time to abandon that failed idea.
    1, 2 and 4 are the same reason. 3 is wrong. 5 is subject to review (no-one believes the construction numbers since the measure was changed) but will not have a big impact.

    When the EURO explodes I think it will be good for Europe and UK.

    In summary I believe we will flatline for another 5 years.

    Leave a comment:


  • Diver
    replied
    Originally posted by AtW View Post
    I'll use my own search engine and will get back to you once I found appropriate answer...

    Leave a comment:


  • AtW
    replied
    I'll use my own search engine and will get back to you once I found appropriate answer...

    Leave a comment:


  • Diver
    replied
    He has to google a suitable response

    Leave a comment:


  • OwlHoot
    started a topic Five Reasons the UK Recession Will Get Much Worse

    Five Reasons the UK Recession Will Get Much Worse

    UK Back in Recession, Did it Really Ever Leave? Disappointing Details; Five Reasons the UK Recession Will Get Much Worse

    Five Reasons the UK Recession Will Get Much Worse

    1. The eurozone is now an economic disaster, credit stress has returned to Spain and Italy

    2. The ECB abandoned the LTRO and is in the midst of huge infighting

    3. UK services took a huge hit and that trend will strengthen

    4. The Eurozone is the UK's largest trading partner and there is no reason for UK exports to the eurozone to rise. In fact, UK exports to the Eurozone, just may collapse.

    5. The better than expected (but still feeble construction numbers) will likely disappoint to the downside soon enough, if not immediately.

    If you thought the euro would help Europe, you thought wrong. The Euro made a disaster in Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Greece, and Italy. It's time to abandon that failed idea.
    aaand ... cue AtW :

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