• Visitors can check out the Forum FAQ by clicking this link. You have to register before you can post: click the REGISTER link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below. View our Forum Privacy Policy.
  • Want to receive the latest contracting news and advice straight to your inbox? Sign up to the ContractorUK newsletter here. Every sign up will also be entered into a draw to WIN £100 Amazon vouchers!
Collapse

You are not logged in or you do not have permission to access this page. This could be due to one of several reasons:

  • You are not logged in. If you are already registered, fill in the form below to log in, or follow the "Sign Up" link to register a new account.
  • You may not have sufficient privileges to access this page. Are you trying to edit someone else's post, access administrative features or some other privileged system?
  • If you are trying to post, the administrator may have disabled your account, or it may be awaiting activation.

Previously on "Wage stagnation over decades"

Collapse

  • AtW
    replied
    Originally posted by TimberWolf View Post
    Why is inflation irrelevant
    It's irrelevant because bank itself (not its staff) does not consume food, oil etc - they are not manufacturer whose cost structure directly depends on stuff that goes up in price: if anything this is good for bank when assets or collateral they have like houses inflate in price.

    Leave a comment:


  • TimberWolf
    replied
    Originally posted by AtW View Post
    Inflation is irrelevant in this case.

    Banks made good money when margins on mortages were like 1% (5% rates - 6% mortage), now their margins are MUCH higher - 0.5% rates, but mortages I think 3-4% at lest.
    Why is inflation irrelevant if mortgage repayments are reducing in real terms due to inflation? If banks are lending out at say 3% or 4% and the real value of repayments are decreasing due to inflation (between 5% and a zillion%), it seems like they are losing money.

    Leave a comment:


  • Jeff Maginty
    replied
    ..
    Last edited by Jeff Maginty; 11 June 2022, 08:17.

    Leave a comment:


  • AtW
    replied
    Originally posted by TimberWolf View Post
    How can those banks providing mortgages at some low percentage above the BoE rate afford to keep doing so, when inflation is raging at 5% or more (and probably much, much more)?
    Inflation is irrelevant in this case.

    Banks made good money when margins on mortages were like 1% (5% rates - 6% mortage), now their margins are MUCH higher - 0.5% rates, but mortages I think 3-4% at lest.

    Leave a comment:


  • TimberWolf
    replied
    Originally posted by AtW View Post
    They are trying to support markets by enticing buyers to get onto the ladder whilst paying current low interest rates, but it's crazy strategy given that even those who gone into market knowing they will pay 6-7% mortgage, but now they say can't increase rates from 0.5% ffs, so what would those who buy houses say when rates go up to 5%?
    How can those banks providing mortgages at some low percentage above the BoE rate afford to keep doing so, when inflation is raging at 5% or more (and probably much, much more)?

    Leave a comment:


  • AtW
    replied
    Originally posted by Lockhouse View Post
    I think the "plan" is for house prices to return to the mean via inflation and not via price reduction.
    They are trying to support markets by enticing buyers to get onto the ladder whilst paying current low interest rates, but it's crazy strategy given that even those who gone into market knowing they will pay 6-7% mortgage, but now they say can't increase rates from 0.5% ffs, so what would those who buy houses say when rates go up to 5%?

    Leave a comment:


  • Lockhouse
    replied
    I think the "plan" is for house prices to return to the mean via inflation and not via price reduction.

    Leave a comment:


  • SueEllen
    replied
    Originally posted by NorthWestPerm2Contr View Post
    I think we will see that once interest rates rise, people will be unable to afford the mortgages on their properties which are 20 x their annual salary. Once this happens there should in theory be a big crash. How long can interest rates be kept at 0.5% for?
    Don't know ask Japan.

    Interest rates will remain at historic lows until enough people have jobs.

    Leave a comment:


  • doodab
    replied
    Part of the problem is the perception of human beings as resources. This leads naturally to the idea that they can be used up, bought more cheaply etc. While this may have short term benefits for a particular business it's no way to organise society.

    The use of GDP as the sole arbiter of progress has a lot to answer for.

    Leave a comment:


  • fullyautomatix
    replied
    House prices went through the roof because Labour created millions of non jobs in public sector and these people went crazy with the mortgage multiples. Public sector salaries have undergone significant distortion and will try to stay there.

    I remember reading on forums where people were so desperate to move up the property ladder, they were budgeting on 200£ spending cash per month after mortgage etc.

    Leave a comment:


  • AtW
    replied
    Originally posted by scooterscot View Post
    House price is @%$£ all to with earnings.
    There is direct link since mortgages are linked to how much people earn (sadly gross rather than net).

    Two reasons for fast increase in house prices:

    1) loan multiples gone through the roof
    2) people who should have never been given mortgage were getting it

    Leave a comment:


  • NorthWestPerm2Contr
    replied
    Originally posted by scooterscot View Post
    Tell us something we don't know.

    BBC News - TUC: Wage stagnation over decades as income gap widens



    I've seen graduate engineering jobs only a few grand above what I started on as a graduate myself 14 years ago.

    The housepricecrash brigade keep going on about 'wait for it', massive crash is coming (well no crash in Scotland anyhow) wages are 9 times the average house price etc.

    House price is @%$£ all to with earnings. When will people learn?
    I think we will see that once interest rates rise, people will be unable to afford the mortgages on their properties which are 20 x their annual salary. Once this happens there should in theory be a big crash. How long can interest rates be kept at 0.5% for?

    Leave a comment:


  • scooterscot
    started a topic Wage stagnation over decades

    Wage stagnation over decades

    Tell us something we don't know.

    BBC News - TUC: Wage stagnation over decades as income gap widens

    Many people in middle and low income jobs have barely seen any improvement in their incomes over the past 30 years, a report from the TUC says.
    I've seen graduate engineering jobs only a few grand above what I started on as a graduate myself 14 years ago.

    The housepricecrash brigade keep going on about 'wait for it', massive crash is coming (well no crash in Scotland anyhow) wages are 9 times the average house price etc.

    House price is @%$£ all to with earnings. When will people learn?

Working...
X