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  • EternalOptimist
    replied
    Originally posted by TimberWolf View Post
    0.5
    TW has hit on something exiting here. But all theories need to be tested and the results compared to the prediction.
    So... this is my experiment...
    There are two dolly birds in HR who, (one would assume) would never look at an old f@rt like me.
    I will proposition them this a.m. according to TW theory, I expect one smack in the gob and one success.
    I will keep you posted

    Leave a comment:


  • RichardCranium
    replied
    Originally posted by EternalOptimist View Post
    So what are the chances that it will rain tomorrow ?
    Originally posted by TimberWolf View Post
    0.5
    'Tomorrow' has arrived and it is raining here right now so now the odds for tomorrow are (0.5 + 1) / 2 = 0.75

    Leave a comment:


  • TimberWolf
    replied
    Originally posted by EternalOptimist View Post
    So what are the chances that it will rain tomorrow ?


    0.5

    Leave a comment:


  • EternalOptimist
    replied
    Originally posted by TimberWolf View Post
    Actually the odds of the jurors reaching a unanimous verdict is 0.5. Here's the unassailable scientific proof: A verdict can be either unanimous or not unanimous, so only these 2 outcomes are possible, so the chance of one of them occurring is 1 in 2 or 0.5. QED.

    Same logic applies to the odds of your plane crashing or of you winning the lottery tonight, 0.5 again.
    So what are the chances that it will rain tomorrow ?


    Leave a comment:


  • TimberWolf
    replied
    Originally posted by RichardCranium View Post
    When you toss a coin 12 times and it comes up heads every time, that's so unlikely that it would NEVER happen. (It's 12! = 479,001,600 to 1 against).

    So why do juries so often have unanimous verdicts? I think some of them must be lying.
    Actually the odds of the jurors reaching a unanimous verdict is 0.5. Here's the unassailable scientific proof: A verdict can be either unanimous or not unanimous, so only these 2 outcomes are possible, so the chance of one of them occurring is 1 in 2 or 0.5. QED.

    Same logic applies to the odds of your plane crashing or of you winning the lottery tonight, 0.5 again.

    Leave a comment:


  • EternalOptimist
    replied
    Originally posted by RichardCranium View Post
    But, but ... but! but, but, but! BUT!



    We now live in a world where the scientists are discredited, statistics not trusted, spindoctory has become routine lies where the liars no longer even apologise when they are caught out after the event, where the great and the good have different rules from the rest of us yet still fiddle their expenses, those wanting to help children grow up right are branded untrustworthy paedos, we are all criminals waiting to happen that must be monitored at all times for signs of deviation, those charged with caring for the global economies are incompetent and unscrupulous thieving bastards, the minerals mega-industries rape and pollute the planet without hindrance provided they make a profit at any cost, torture and illegal wars are tolerated by those who call themselves The Good Guys, big pharma lies to us about medication for pandemic control and the media simply don't care so long as she has an airbrushed waistline and a plunging cleavage.

    there are a few on here who go along with a) but who lambast b)

    intellectual dishonesty and wooly thinking. thats what I says


    Leave a comment:


  • RichardCranium
    replied
    Originally posted by EternalOptimist View Post
    RC
    If it's an argument you want, hows about this.
    But, but ... but! but, but, but! BUT!



    We now live in a world where the scientists are discredited, statistics not trusted, spindoctory has become routine lies where the liars no longer even apologise when they are caught out after the event, where the great and the good have different rules from the rest of us yet still fiddle their expenses, those wanting to help children grow up right are branded untrustworthy paedos, we are all criminals waiting to happen that must be monitored at all times for signs of deviation, those charged with caring for the global economies are incompetent and unscrupulous thieving bastards, the minerals mega-industries rape and pollute the planet without hindrance provided they make a profit at any cost, torture and illegal wars are tolerated by those who call themselves The Good Guys, big pharma lies to us about medication for pandemic control and the media simply don't care so long as she has an airbrushed waistline and a plunging cleavage.

    Leave a comment:


  • EternalOptimist
    replied
    RC
    If it's an argument you want, hows about this.

    The Global warmists say it's ok if their carbon theory is hokum, because it will have the effect of making us all green before the theory is falsified. The ends will justify the means, so who cares.
    It's ok to lie and twist the facts and the science, as long as we move to a green sustainable way of life.

    but

    Tony Blair says its ok if his argument about WMD is hokum, because it will have the effect of making us invade, before the pretence is uncovered. The ends will justify the means, so who cares.
    It's ok to lie and twist the facts and the casus belli, as long as we get rid of the regime.


    Leave a comment:


  • DimPrawn
    replied
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/8411387.stm

    Leave a comment:


  • Numpty
    replied
    Originally posted by darmstadt View Post
    They walk down my nose into my mouth and down into my stomach, where they re-enact famous murder trials throughout history.

    The streets are swept, da bins are emptied, but this is not the work of the
    Trumpton fire brigade.

    Noddy and Big Ears, Lord Snooty makes three. All in pervert trousers and
    stinking of Brie.

    At three o'clock every night bugs come out of the floor and climb up my back
    and down the parting in my hair.

    Remember kids, don't eat dung so soft you don't enjoy it.

    Tractor men, they know all. Bring your own truss, we'll have a ball.

    Hubba Hubba. The king is dead, but shed no tear...for he has risen in full
    easter bunny gear.
    WHS

    Leave a comment:


  • darmstadt
    replied
    They walk down my nose into my mouth and down into my stomach, where they re-enact famous murder trials throughout history.

    The streets are swept, da bins are emptied, but this is not the work of the
    Trumpton fire brigade.

    Noddy and Big Ears, Lord Snooty makes three. All in pervert trousers and
    stinking of Brie.

    At three o'clock every night bugs come out of the floor and climb up my back
    and down the parting in my hair.

    Remember kids, don't eat dung so soft you don't enjoy it.

    Tractor men, they know all. Bring your own truss, we'll have a ball.

    Hubba Hubba. The king is dead, but shed no tear...for he has risen in full
    easter bunny gear.

    Leave a comment:


  • RichardCranium
    replied
    When you toss a coin 12 times and it comes up heads every time, that's so unlikely that it would NEVER happen. (It's 12! = 479,001,600 to 1 against).

    So why do juries so often have unanimous verdicts? I think some of them must be lying.

    Leave a comment:


  • RichardCranium
    replied
    Instead of having 12 random, disinterested jurors and a senile old judge decide about trial outcomes, it should be posted on the t'InterWeb and people online can vote.

    Use news portals to hold the voting (like the Daily Mail and the Sun web sites).

    Then people can read the story and decide for themselves what should be done.

    I call it Justice 2.0

    Leave a comment:


  • RichardCranium
    replied
    On the CUK members list, the first page of accounts are all Gods (>5000 posts). After the first page, none of them are.

    That is very tidy.

    Something should be done to keep it that way.

    Leave a comment:


  • RichardCranium
    replied
    When people got TB they made them live in nursing homes in the country and get lots of fresh air to help them get better.

    Farmers reckon it is the badgers causing the TB in cows.

    But it can't be. Cows live in fields and get lots of fresh air all the time.

    Leave a comment:

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