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Previously on "Staking £10K With a Chance to Win Back £400"

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  • tomtomagain
    replied
    MF will have an exciting election night ... as long as he hasn't told the wife.

    Otherwise, it'll be the dog-house for a month.

    Leave a comment:


  • AtW
    replied
    Originally posted by MarillionFan View Post
    Yeah, but I spend more on champagne and pies in a month, so it's horses for courses isn't it.
    Looks like you'll have to downgrade to Cava for a couple of years...

    Leave a comment:


  • MarillionFan
    replied
    Originally posted by Lambert Simnel View Post
    I certainly was happy to bet on Macron at 10/1 on (once he had made the second round vs Le Pen). Now that was a sure thing, and the odds came close to reflecting it.

    May will likely still get her majority, but taking a bet on that at 25/1 on is ludicrous, and shows a significant lack of understanding of the recent volatility of British politics. No doubt when the Tories win the better in question will feel vindicated with his £400 to wave around - it won't change the fact that this was a dumb bet to take, with a poor understanding of the actual odds.
    Yeah, but I spend more on champagne and pies in a month, so it's horses for courses isn't it.

    Leave a comment:


  • tomtomagain
    replied
    Originally posted by Lambert Simnel View Post
    I certainly was happy to bet on Macron at 10/1 on (once he had made the second round vs Le Pen). Now that was a sure thing, and the odds came close to reflecting it.

    May will likely still get her majority, but taking a bet on that at 25/1 on is ludicrous, and shows a significant lack of understanding of the recent volatility of British politics. No doubt when the Tories win the better in question will feel vindicated with his £400 to wave around - it won't change the fact that this was a dumb bet to take, with a poor understanding of the actual odds.
    It's picking up pennies in front of a steamroller.

    Leave a comment:


  • Lambert Simnel
    replied
    I certainly was happy to bet on Macron at 10/1 on (once he had made the second round vs Le Pen). Now that was a sure thing, and the odds came close to reflecting it.

    May will likely still get her majority, but taking a bet on that at 25/1 on is ludicrous, and shows a significant lack of understanding of the recent volatility of British politics. No doubt when the Tories win the better in question will feel vindicated with his £400 to wave around - it won't change the fact that this was a dumb bet to take, with a poor understanding of the actual odds.

    Leave a comment:


  • pjclarke
    replied
    The trend may not be your friend.

    You can now lay a Con majority at betfair for 1.26. You never see a bookie on a bus .....

    Leave a comment:


  • MarillionFan
    replied
    Originally posted by MrMarkyMark View Post
    Who would be stupid enough to do that


    Yeah, well we all could have taken the bet at 1/4, but there's much more chance of that losing than the 1/25 I took.

    Up here for thinking, down there for dancing mate.

    Leave a comment:


  • MrMarkyMark
    replied
    Originally posted by pjclarke View Post
    £10K on a Tory majority now gets you £2.5K on Betfair, if it happens.
    http://forums.contractoruk.com/gener...-1-16-a-9.html



    Leave a comment:


  • MrMarkyMark
    replied
    Originally posted by BrilloPad View Post
    Is that the odds and Brexit going ahead?
    Not quite

    http://forums.contractoruk.com/gener...r-hates-2.html

    Leave a comment:


  • BrilloPad
    replied
    Is that the odds and Brexit going ahead?

    Leave a comment:


  • MrMarkyMark
    replied
    Originally posted by TestMangler View Post
    Must be an absolute cert. No one could possibly be dumb enough to place a bet like that if there was even a remote chance it could go the other way.

    Unless.......they'd maybe had a misplaced childhood and they were now clutching at straws....
    You mean like Brexit or Trump, maybe

    He will be clutching at something, more likely to be an appendage rather than a straw.


    Leave a comment:


  • TestMangler
    replied
    Must be an absolute cert. No one could possibly be dumb enough to place a bet like that if there was even a remote chance it could go the other way.

    Unless.......they'd maybe had a misplaced childhood and they were now clutching at straws....

    Leave a comment:


  • MrMarkyMark
    started a topic Staking £10K With a Chance to Win Back £400

    Staking £10K With a Chance to Win Back £400

    Who would be stupid enough to do that


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