MF will have an exciting election night ... as long as he hasn't told the wife.
Otherwise, it'll be the dog-house for a month.
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Previously on "Staking £10K With a Chance to Win Back £400"
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Yeah, but I spend more on champagne and pies in a month, so it's horses for courses isn't it.Originally posted by Lambert Simnel View PostI certainly was happy to bet on Macron at 10/1 on (once he had made the second round vs Le Pen). Now that was a sure thing, and the odds came close to reflecting it.
May will likely still get her majority, but taking a bet on that at 25/1 on is ludicrous, and shows a significant lack of understanding of the recent volatility of British politics. No doubt when the Tories win the better in question will feel vindicated with his £400 to wave around - it won't change the fact that this was a dumb bet to take, with a poor understanding of the actual odds.
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It's picking up pennies in front of a steamroller.Originally posted by Lambert Simnel View PostI certainly was happy to bet on Macron at 10/1 on (once he had made the second round vs Le Pen). Now that was a sure thing, and the odds came close to reflecting it.
May will likely still get her majority, but taking a bet on that at 25/1 on is ludicrous, and shows a significant lack of understanding of the recent volatility of British politics. No doubt when the Tories win the better in question will feel vindicated with his £400 to wave around - it won't change the fact that this was a dumb bet to take, with a poor understanding of the actual odds.
Leave a comment:
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I certainly was happy to bet on Macron at 10/1 on (once he had made the second round vs Le Pen). Now that was a sure thing, and the odds came close to reflecting it.
May will likely still get her majority, but taking a bet on that at 25/1 on is ludicrous, and shows a significant lack of understanding of the recent volatility of British politics. No doubt when the Tories win the better in question will feel vindicated with his £400 to wave around - it won't change the fact that this was a dumb bet to take, with a poor understanding of the actual odds.
Leave a comment:
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Yeah, well we all could have taken the bet at 1/4, but there's much more chance of that losing than the 1/25 I took.Originally posted by MrMarkyMark View PostWho would be stupid enough to do that

Up here for thinking, down there for dancing mate.
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http://forums.contractoruk.com/gener...-1-16-a-9.htmlOriginally posted by pjclarke View Post£10K on a Tory majority now gets you £2.5K on Betfair, if it happens.
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Not quiteOriginally posted by BrilloPad View PostIs that the odds and Brexit going ahead?
http://forums.contractoruk.com/gener...r-hates-2.html
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You mean like Brexit or Trump, maybeOriginally posted by TestMangler View PostMust be an absolute cert. No one could possibly be dumb enough to place a bet like that if there was even a remote chance it could go the other way.
Unless.......they'd maybe had a misplaced childhood and they were now clutching at straws....
He will be clutching at something, more likely to be an appendage rather than a straw.
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Must be an absolute cert. No one could possibly be dumb enough to place a bet like that if there was even a remote chance it could go the other way.
Unless.......they'd maybe had a misplaced childhood and they were now clutching at straws....
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Staking £10K With a Chance to Win Back £400
Who would be stupid enough to do that
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