William White, the banker who predicted 2008 crisis, warns of another crash | This is Money
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Reply to: FTSE 100 - 2016 Close Predictions
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Previously on "FTSE 100 - 2016 Close Predictions"
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Not too concerned, I have a very long term horizon and no plans to sell, I invest for the future and a retired life living off the income. Added to that I am not a great fan of the FTSE 100 as it is too heavy with a small group of sectors. I have spread my investment with US, Japan, Europe, Pacific and Emerging Markets. Neither do I invest in bonds, other than some small indirect holdings via various investment trusts.
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Year of two halves. I expect a test of 5000 before the summer, but probably not far below. What happens in the second half will depend on the EU referendum and US election, but my guess is a vote to remain and a Clinton win (although not overly confident about either), together with improved US growth and rate rises back on the table towards the latter half, keeping a lid on any rally. Ending around 6000-6200.
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FTSE 100 - 2016 Close Predictions
My 3250 estimate is based on the last two troughs, and it considers that the fall will be worse this time as we have in effect a double dip (the pain from the 2008 still there - with the last 8 years of ZIRP pain to add to it).Originally posted by DimPrawn View PostIs clicking the poll beyond the selfie stick generation?
I'm happy with that as a level of analysis to support my estimate.
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FTSE 100 - 2016 Close Predictions
67000 or above!16.67%16500 - 69990.00%06000 - 649933.33%25500 - 59990.00%05000 - 549916.67%14500 - 499916.67%14000 - 449916.67%13500 - 39990.00%03000 - 34990.00%02500 - 29990.00%02000 - 24990.00%01500- 19990.00%01000 - 14990.00%0Below 1000!0.00%0AndyW's mum has her price and it is negotiable0.00%0The poll is expired.
Okay, put your best fundamental analysis head on, what's the closing price of the FTSE100 by the end of this year?
Winner gets a $400bn hedge fund to run.
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