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Dice roll probability

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    #51
    Originally posted by doodab View Post
    I'd work out the answer when starting with a single die first. That's the vaguely complex bit as it's an infinite series summation or similar. I'll try and do that in a bit.

    The general case is equivalent to considering each initial dice seperately, so just multiply that answer by the initial number of dice.
    Ok for a single die the total probability of a success is 2/5 when all the rethrowing if you get a 1 etc is taken into account. So for N dice it's 2N/5
    While you're waiting, read the free novel we sent you. It's a Spanish story about a guy named 'Manual.'

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      #52
      x/6^N

      Where x is the series count and N is the number of throws in a row.

      I've mostly made this up.

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        #53
        Originally posted by doodab View Post
        I'd work out the answer when starting with a single die first. That's the vaguely complex bit as it's an infinite series summation or similar. I'll try and do that in a bit.

        The general case is equivalent to considering each initial dice seperately, so just multiply that answer by the initial number of dice.
        Agree
        "You can't climb the ladder of success, with your hands in the pockets"
        Arnold Schwarzenegger

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          #54
          Originally posted by doodab View Post
          Ok for a single die the total probability of a success is 2/5 when all the rethrowing if you get a 1 etc is taken into account. So for N dice it's 2N/5
          Could you share the workings out?
          "You can't climb the ladder of success, with your hands in the pockets"
          Arnold Schwarzenegger

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            #55
            To the op, there isn't a general consensus to you are going to have to write code. I admit my number feels high. But when you are adding a series together infinitely perhaps it does give 0.5.

            Lets say the winner is the person with the closest prediction to the code.
            "You can't climb the ladder of success, with your hands in the pockets"
            Arnold Schwarzenegger

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              #56
              Originally posted by No2politics View Post
              Could you share the workings out?
              Each die will get rolled on average 6/5 times (1 + 1/6 + 1/36...) with probability of success 2/6.
              While you're waiting, read the free novel we sent you. It's a Spanish story about a guy named 'Manual.'

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                #57
                Originally posted by doodab View Post
                Ok for a single die the total probability of a success is 2/5 when all the rethrowing if you get a 1 etc is taken into account. So for N dice it's 2N/5
                No it's not.

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                  #58
                  Originally posted by alluvial View Post
                  No it's not.
                  Feel free to explain why.
                  While you're waiting, read the free novel we sent you. It's a Spanish story about a guy named 'Manual.'

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                    #59
                    Originally posted by doodab View Post
                    Feel free to explain why.
                    I already have.

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                      #60
                      Originally posted by alluvial View Post
                      I already have.
                      No you haven't. Explain the flaw in my reasoning.
                      While you're waiting, read the free novel we sent you. It's a Spanish story about a guy named 'Manual.'

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