Originally posted by aussielong
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Boomed! House prices tumbling ever faster
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I'm not disputing that house prices are falling, but there is a difference between a static market and a housing crash.
Nobody is selling, due to a combination of no new entrants due to mortgage shortage and people hanging off for prices to bottom out. New entrants are the start of most chains, and when they dry up, the whole market stops. But stopped isn't the same as crash. These houses are still holding their value.
It's the poor saps who have to sell, due to financial circumstances, who are taking the hit. They are the ones driving the prices down. if anything we are seeing a BTL crash, but houses as primary homes are still keeping their value- you're not losing money on what you don't have to sell.
The problem will come when more and more people reach a stage where their finances, impacted by the rest of the tulip going on in the economy, are forced to joing the BTLers in selling their properties and not being able to.Cooking doesn't get tougher than this.Comment
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Indeed. In the last downturn, house prices fell dramatically before the official recession then accelerated downwards as people started losing their jobs.Originally posted by TheBigYinJames View PostThe problem will come when more and more people reach a stage where their finances, impacted by the rest of the tulip going on in the economy, are forced to joing the BTLers in selling their properties and not being able to.
The drops we are seeing so far are on a small volume of transactions by forced sellers/people with small mortgages who can undercut.Hard Brexit now!
#prayfornodealComment
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Originally posted by TheBigYinJames View PostI'm not disputing that house prices are falling, but there is a difference between a static market and a housing crash.
Nobody is selling, due to a combination of no new entrants due to mortgage shortage and people hanging off for prices to bottom out. New entrants are the start of most chains, and when they dry up, the whole market stops. But stopped isn't the same as crash. These houses are still holding their value.
It's the poor saps who have to sell, due to financial circumstances, who are taking the hit. They are the ones driving the prices down. if anything we are seeing a BTL crash, but houses as primary homes are still keeping their value- you're not losing money on what you don't have to sell.
The problem will come when more and more people reach a stage where their finances, impacted by the rest of the tulip going on in the economy, are forced to joing the BTLers in selling their properties and not being able to.
I am in full agreement with what you say. Until banks start lending again and people want to borrow, we are in a period of stagnation.
To alleviate this stagnation HMG need to put money back into people's pockets. The way to do this is with fiscal measures such as reductions in interest rates and tax cuts. Taxes are far too high and one major reason why people have little money to spend.
One day our illustrious rulers will realise this, but hopefully not until they are out of power. They have the means to solve this crisis but have been brainwashed by their own doctrine that taxes are good for all of us.
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Its a great pity that the economy depends on people borrowing. When I was young credit was called the "never never". To get a mortgage you needed at least 10% deposit and had to be nice to your building society manager. Credit cards were almost unkown - people used cash from their wage packet. Even a loan to buy a car was a rarity.Originally posted by Cyberman View PostI am in full agreement with what you say. Until banks start lending again and people want to borrow, we are in a period of stagnation.
To alleviate this stagnation HMG need to put money back into people's pockets. The way to do this is with fiscal measures such as reductions in interest rates and tax cuts. Taxes are far too high and one major reason why people have little money to spend.
One day our illustrious rulers will realise this, but hopefully not until they are out of power. They have the means to solve this crisis but have been brainwashed by their own doctrine that taxes are good for all of us.
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Steve Wright described the credit crunch as "going back to the days when banks only wanted to lend you money when you didn't need a loan"Originally posted by BrilloPad View PostIts a great pity that the economy depends on people borrowing. When I was young credit was called the "never never". To get a mortgage you needed at least 10% deposit and had to be nice to your building society manager. Credit cards were almost unkown - people used cash from their wage packet. Even a loan to buy a car was a rarity.Cooking doesn't get tougher than this.Comment
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Rates are obv going to go down - the KEY part will be the Tax cuts as you allude to - only issue here is the impact that will have on Government income - swings and merry pink roundabouts with stockings on.Comment
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When I took out an offset mortgage a few years ago it came with an overdraft facility, of up to 60K. I keep expecting them to withdraw or change the terms (it says they can at any time in the contract) but they haven't done so yet. Boomed.Comment
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You have posted a few intelligent things today - well done.Originally posted by TheBigYinJames View PostI'm not disputing that house prices are falling, but there is a difference between a static market and a housing crash.
Nobody is selling, due to a combination of no new entrants due to mortgage shortage and people hanging off for prices to bottom out. New entrants are the start of most chains, and when they dry up, the whole market stops. But stopped isn't the same as crash. These houses are still holding their value.
It's the poor saps who have to sell, due to financial circumstances, who are taking the hit. They are the ones driving the prices down. if anything we are seeing a BTL crash, but houses as primary homes are still keeping their value- you're not losing money on what you don't have to sell.
The problem will come when more and more people reach a stage where their finances, impacted by the rest of the tulip going on in the economy, are forced to joing the BTLers in selling their properties and not being able to.Comment
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Normal service will be resumed soon.Originally posted by Bob Dalek View PostYou have posted a few intelligent things today - well done.Cooking doesn't get tougher than this.Comment
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