The real reason behind the UK Floods

[Svalbaard]

Not fact, as it's not a cycle that occurs at an exact time within its generally accepted period of occurence. NOAA atmospheric models predict occurence around every 3 - 5 years on average, with the last El Nino years being around 1998 and 2003. Prolonged effects of El Nino can be noticable from 2 years either side of the 9-12 month peak period of effect.

So yes, it is plausable to state that we are in the ramp up period of an El Nino cycle although I do concede that my wording in my previous post can be misconstrued by those who think that atmospheric study is an exact science.

[Diver]

During October, equatorial SST anomalies greater than +0.5ºC were found between Indonesia and 170ºW, while negative anomalies less than –0.5ºC were observed at most locations between 130ºW and the South American coast (Figs. T9 and T18). The SST departures in the Niño 3, and Niño 1+2 regions were negative, while weak positive departures were observed in the Niño 4 and Niño 3.4 regions (Table T2 and Fig. T5). During the last three months surface and subsurface temperature anomalies decreased, especially in the eastern equatorial Pacific(Figs. T9, T15 and T17), and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) increased (Fig. T2). During the same period persistent stronger-than-average low-level equatorial easterly winds were observed over the central Pacific (Figs. T7 and T13), while near-average patterns of convection (Figs. T8 and T25) and sea level pressure (Figs. T10 and T19) occurred over most of the tropical Pacific. Collectively, the present oceanic and atmospheric anomalies are consistent with ENSO-neutral conditions in the tropical Pacific.

[Nicky G]

What about the earthquakes and tsunamis?

[Nicky G]

Or in Nicky G's case a.

Yoo git me?

[Diver]

What about the earthquakes and tsunamis?

http://www.space.com/scienceastronom...es_040407.html

We were warned about it causing earthquakes and tsunamis 10 years ago.

[NoddY]

Has NickyG's login been compromised?

[Diver]

Has NickyG's login been compromised?

No, just his logic

[bored]

Anyone else thinks that Chico was more entertaining to read? Or at least more believable.

[Diver]

Than me, Svaalbard, Nicky G or Noddy?

Please specify as always

[bored]

Than me, Svaalbard, Nicky G or Noddy?

Please specify as always

Why Nicky G of course! As he seems to be a clone (or a parody ) of Chico.