http://www.thefinalphase.com/FirstWelcomePage.htm
INTRODUCTION
What is "The Final Phase?"
Russia and China are not our friends. They are not our true partners in the war on terror nor in the world of free-trade. They engage the West as partners for now while it is to their advantage, but only as a means to an end.
Conventional wisdom concludes that Russia and China "need" the West for their long-term national interests and prosperity; they do not - there are other avenues.
(Continued from Home Page):
Today, we establish joint intelligence operations with Russia's former KGB in the war on terror and consider them to be full - "need to know" - partners and share our intelligence with them. This is a dangerous partnership.
We invite Russia and China as a go-between partners in negotiating with North Korea to cajole them to abandon their nuclear program. We entrust them to act in good faith on our behalf when in fact they are more apt to manipulate tensions using North Korea as a potential diversion ploy in sync with China's future military designs against Taiwan. Contrary to Beijing’s pronouncements, they are not concerned about Korea’s saber rattling; they welcome it and use it.
Russia and China’s continuing modernization of weapon systems - especially strategic - and buildup of military might are rationalized and explained away by wishful thinking and hopeful analyses in the West. However, such analyses fall short of adequately assessing their true threat and intentions. It appears no one dares say or even suggest what could be behind their growing military posture and mutual relationship.
The West is sated and reassured by the continual dialectic of "one step back" and by hearing what we want to hear, which was so aptly exemplified in Hu Jintao's 2006 New Year's address to a targeted Western audience:
Here, I would like to reiterate that China's development is peaceful development, opening development, cooperative development and harmonious development...the Chinese people are will develop ourselves by means of striving for a peaceful international environment, and promote world peace with our own development...
Comforting words.
Edward Jay Epstein addresses in his book, Deception: The Invisible War Between the KGB and CIA, a penchant of the West for hearing only what we want to hear, believing what we want to - or hope to - believe:
First, the victim's leadership has to be in a state of mind to want to accept and act on the disinformation it receives from its own intelligence. This might not happen unless the disinformation fits in with the adversary's prevailing preconceptions or interests - which is, at least in the case of the United States, not difficult to determine. Angleton suggested that Lenin showed he understood this principle when he instructed his intelligence chief in 1921, in crafting disinformation, to "Tell them what they want to hear."
Second, the victim has to be in a state of mind in which he is so confident of his own intelligence that he is unwilling to entertain evidence, or even theories, that he is or can be duped. This kind of blanket denial amounts to a conceit, which Angleton claimed could be cultivated in an adversary, that one's rival lacks the wherewithal and competence to hide its activities, organize disinformation, and penetrate its ranks. If it proved wrong, it left a nation defenselss against deception.
Dr. Joseph D. Douglass, Jr., in "Drugs, Russia and Terrorism," addresses a reluctance to face certain realities in the War on Terror concerning Russia and China citing an intelligence committee hearing from 2002 in which then DCI George Tenet testified:
Another critical yet overlooked facet of the terrorism problem was raised briefly during the recent Senate Intelligence Committee National Security Threat hearings. The key question was asked by Sen. Evan Bayh: "Are Russia and China involved with enabling evil?"
This question was highly relevant because certain facts with respect to China and Russia, both of which presumably joined us in the war on terrorism, have been missing in discussions about the war on terror.
It is well known that China has been one of the biggest supporters of Middle East terrorists and rogue regimes seeking to acquire long-range missiles and weapons of mass destruction.
Even more involved has been Russia. In its former incarnation as the Soviet Union, Russia is the granddaddy of international terrorism.
Today's international terrorism is fundamentally the product of Russia's military intelligence, the GRU, and to a lesser extent its civilian intelligence, the KGB. Both the KGB and GRU are alive, well and more powerful today than they were under Communism.
Further, the greatest sources of potential weapons of mass destruction, missiles and submarine proliferation over the past decade have been the various Russian laboratories and organizations (e.g., military and intelligence).
Thus, the possible involvement of Russia and China should have been under intense CIA covert scrutiny for many years, and Sen. Bayh deserved an honest and straightforward answer. What he got was a near-incoherent response.
CONTINUED...........
http://www.thefinalphase.com/A01_ThesisIntro.htm
INTRODUCTION
What is "The Final Phase?"
Russia and China are not our friends. They are not our true partners in the war on terror nor in the world of free-trade. They engage the West as partners for now while it is to their advantage, but only as a means to an end.
Conventional wisdom concludes that Russia and China "need" the West for their long-term national interests and prosperity; they do not - there are other avenues.
(Continued from Home Page):
Today, we establish joint intelligence operations with Russia's former KGB in the war on terror and consider them to be full - "need to know" - partners and share our intelligence with them. This is a dangerous partnership.
We invite Russia and China as a go-between partners in negotiating with North Korea to cajole them to abandon their nuclear program. We entrust them to act in good faith on our behalf when in fact they are more apt to manipulate tensions using North Korea as a potential diversion ploy in sync with China's future military designs against Taiwan. Contrary to Beijing’s pronouncements, they are not concerned about Korea’s saber rattling; they welcome it and use it.
Russia and China’s continuing modernization of weapon systems - especially strategic - and buildup of military might are rationalized and explained away by wishful thinking and hopeful analyses in the West. However, such analyses fall short of adequately assessing their true threat and intentions. It appears no one dares say or even suggest what could be behind their growing military posture and mutual relationship.
The West is sated and reassured by the continual dialectic of "one step back" and by hearing what we want to hear, which was so aptly exemplified in Hu Jintao's 2006 New Year's address to a targeted Western audience:
Here, I would like to reiterate that China's development is peaceful development, opening development, cooperative development and harmonious development...the Chinese people are will develop ourselves by means of striving for a peaceful international environment, and promote world peace with our own development...
Comforting words.
Edward Jay Epstein addresses in his book, Deception: The Invisible War Between the KGB and CIA, a penchant of the West for hearing only what we want to hear, believing what we want to - or hope to - believe:
First, the victim's leadership has to be in a state of mind to want to accept and act on the disinformation it receives from its own intelligence. This might not happen unless the disinformation fits in with the adversary's prevailing preconceptions or interests - which is, at least in the case of the United States, not difficult to determine. Angleton suggested that Lenin showed he understood this principle when he instructed his intelligence chief in 1921, in crafting disinformation, to "Tell them what they want to hear."
Second, the victim has to be in a state of mind in which he is so confident of his own intelligence that he is unwilling to entertain evidence, or even theories, that he is or can be duped. This kind of blanket denial amounts to a conceit, which Angleton claimed could be cultivated in an adversary, that one's rival lacks the wherewithal and competence to hide its activities, organize disinformation, and penetrate its ranks. If it proved wrong, it left a nation defenselss against deception.
Dr. Joseph D. Douglass, Jr., in "Drugs, Russia and Terrorism," addresses a reluctance to face certain realities in the War on Terror concerning Russia and China citing an intelligence committee hearing from 2002 in which then DCI George Tenet testified:
Another critical yet overlooked facet of the terrorism problem was raised briefly during the recent Senate Intelligence Committee National Security Threat hearings. The key question was asked by Sen. Evan Bayh: "Are Russia and China involved with enabling evil?"
This question was highly relevant because certain facts with respect to China and Russia, both of which presumably joined us in the war on terrorism, have been missing in discussions about the war on terror.
It is well known that China has been one of the biggest supporters of Middle East terrorists and rogue regimes seeking to acquire long-range missiles and weapons of mass destruction.
Even more involved has been Russia. In its former incarnation as the Soviet Union, Russia is the granddaddy of international terrorism.
Today's international terrorism is fundamentally the product of Russia's military intelligence, the GRU, and to a lesser extent its civilian intelligence, the KGB. Both the KGB and GRU are alive, well and more powerful today than they were under Communism.
Further, the greatest sources of potential weapons of mass destruction, missiles and submarine proliferation over the past decade have been the various Russian laboratories and organizations (e.g., military and intelligence).
Thus, the possible involvement of Russia and China should have been under intense CIA covert scrutiny for many years, and Sen. Bayh deserved an honest and straightforward answer. What he got was a near-incoherent response.
CONTINUED...........
http://www.thefinalphase.com/A01_ThesisIntro.htm

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