stock market crash

[CryingSheep]

Overall, before every crash, there's a peak. Things are going up, so a crash will happen. Eventually. Maybe...

That is a fact, sooner or later one will happen (again), to just recover after and reach new maximums, that's another fact!

[BR14]

[scooterscot]

Said scooty every week for the past 3 years.

You’d think the market being at the same place as it was 2 years ago would be warning to many. For others it’s finger pointing hilarity.

Remember... you wanted this.

[DimPrawn]

UPDATE 1-Fed's T-bill purchases to stay at $60 bln for next month -NY Fed - Reuters

[scooterscot]

Stocks will rocket on this. Don't confuse that with an increase in value. Every dollar they create other dollars then become worth a little less than the day before.

World is completely backwards.

[scooterscot]

Oh dear, up from what 30% 2 - 3 weeks ago? Now the bank's future is as credible as a coin toss.


Deutsche Bank Probability Of Bankruptcy = 50%

What is current Deutsche Bank Probability Of Bankruptcy | DB BATS - Macroaxis

[DimPrawn]

Trade truce: USA and China agree first phase of deal with China buy $200bn more in American exports | Daily Mail Online

Boom, endless unbounded boom.

[scooterscot]

stock market crash

Agriculture trade between the US & China is dead no matter how they dress it up for the waiting media.

While Trump has been destroying generations of Montana Trump voting farmers with export tariffs, their businesses have gone bankrupt. They've been living on state handouts as their crops rot. Meanwhile China has already found alternative sources.



1. Trump says trade deal with China over.
2. His friends all pile into the stock market.
3. Trump says trade deal with china is close.
4. His friends all make a killing on the stock market.
5. Repeat every week for 3 months.

[scooterscot]

At last... the end station is upon us.

1st, the yield curve inversion has crossed above the 0 line indicating a recession is now very likely. The rate at which this line crosses upwards indicates the strength of the recession (see around the year 2000 at the dot com crash and compare with 2008).

2nd, Extreme greed in the market.

[scooterscot]

Don't know how this escaped my attention.


Since around October last year, the 10 year bond rate has begun exceeding the 2 year bond as the US tightens money supply. The world is expecting the US to go on a mass printing exercise. I don't think can! The bond market seems to be calling the FED's bluff.

This could be very interesting indeed. If 10 year bond rates continue to increase the real economy will certainly collapse and central bank interest rates will certainly rise. Buckle up you overexposed debtors.