Originally posted by tomtomagain
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Early stage estimates are guesses. I don't know why you put this in quotes. You can't estimate with any degree of accuracy, it's a guess. This is bad for lots of reasons and you should not "guess". Once you pluck a deadline out of the air it's nearly always seen as a failure when this deadline is missed. Now, you could say well I inform the stakeholders that it's an estimate and likely to change but guess what, you now have a deadline. They will report back to their boss that x project should be finished by December. I've seen projects fail because of weak project managers that do this and then try to enforce their guessed timescales.
You talk about refining these estimates and it nearly never happens, often something is cut, like testing. Or features are pushed to another phase or the developers are asked to work harder/longer.
You didnt expand on the "Work" section, you talked about guessing estimates and putting a team together. Nothing I've read so far requires a project manager to lead the project. At most you could do with an admin person. The coordinating between teams could be done with suitable software and identifying lead developers so they can talk to each other without going through a PM as a filter.
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