BREXIT betting markets tracker

[Old Greg]

Betting odds reflect where the money is going and where people see value. They are a useful tool, but simply a tool, alongside the polls. Personally, I think there's little value in Remain at these odds. The latest Survation phone poll (just released) has Leave climbing to 49.5, with Remain only 1% ahead. Very close indeed. The value is skewed towards Leave, as a risk/reward calculation, although I think the betting odds have the result correct (just not the probability).

I agree it's worth a punt on Leave at those odds.

[jamesbrown]

Betting odds reflect where the money is going and where people see value. They are a useful tool, but simply a tool, alongside the polls. Personally, I think there's little value in Remain at these odds. The latest Survation phone poll (just released) has Leave climbing to 49.5, with Remain only 1% ahead. Very close indeed. The value is skewed towards Leave, as a risk/reward calculation, although I think the betting odds have the result correct (just not the probability).

[Old Greg]

Paddy Power

Remain: 2/9
Leave: 10/3

Cue much anger and complaining how it's not fair from our Leave-inclined friends.

[pr1]

Paddy Power

Remain 8/13
Stay 5/4

yes yes but what about leave?

[Jog On]

short £
short FTSE
long gold

[Old Greg]

Paddy Power

Remain 8/13
Stay 5/4

[AtW]

It's GBP/USD you numpty.

After Brexit should see the pound worth 1 cent. Our exports will be flying over the pond.

I pity those running 5.5L V8's mind, petrol will be £1000 a litre.

[scooterscot]

Brexit just got a point up today after the rioting in France.

[DimPrawn]

Inflation.

Isn't that what the central banks everywhere are desperate for?

They can cancel the helicopter, they will be pleased....

[Old Greg]

Exactly. I am not sure why people think that a weak pound is bad.

Inflation.