Election polls - eh??????????

[SunnyInHades]

Interesting stuff here about the betting market being more of a guide than opinion polls

If you want to know who will win the election, ask a gambler - Telegraph

Betfair betting exchange, Tue 31 March 2015

Conservative 280 (37%)
Labour 272 (40%)
SNP 42 (5%)
Liberal Democrat 30 (8%)
UKIP 3 (5%)
Others 23 (5%)

Winning Post 326

[flamel]

Conservatives move into strongest position for five years | Daily Mail Online


Labour opens up 4-point poll lead after TV contest when Miliband vowed: 'Hell yes, I'm tough enough' | Daily Mail Online

I've always found the Daily Mail to be most edifying.

[OwlHoot]

The gales blowing outside, and these yoyoing contradictory polls remind me of Sir Francis Bacon's essay Of Seditions and Troubles.

Shepherds of people had need know the calendars of tempests in state; which are commonly greatest when things grow to equality; as natural tempests are greatest about the Equinoctia. And as there are certain hollow blasts of wind and secret swellings of seas before a tempest, so are there in states.

...

Libels and licentious discourses against the state, when they are frequent and open; and in like sort, false news often running up and down to the disadvantage of the state, and hastily embraced; are amongst the signs of troubles ...

[Zero Liability]

It's not so much the polls as it is how they are spun. The overall trend is the two major parties are neck to neck.