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[ASB]

Independant studies have been done, and they have shown that the younger a bond the more chance you have of winning.

Even that article mentions a big payout on new bond happening again.

Yes, but one of the possible issues is that there are more newer bonds. This surely must bias the odds towards newer bonds due to the greater number - but that doesn't actually mean a younger bond has a better chance - only that there is a better chance of a winning bond being younger which is not the same thing.

Of course it is possible that there is a skewing, but I don't think so.