Let's pretend this is an interview question .... you're on a 25 year mortgage, you're been paying for 5 years. Do you think any capital has been paid off the mortgage (assuming it's a repayment mortgage and not interest only)
As for the LTV, that's part 2 of the question
for 25y term, after 5y, you seem to amortise about 15.5% of the principal with 2.5% interest rate and only about 11.5% with 5% interest rate and for values in-between probably we could interpolate between the values. hopefully I got the figures right.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mortgage_calculator - fixed rate mortgage
not quite sure now if the bank has to "mark to market" at re-financing, or just go with an arbitrary figure...
then you have to account for:
- repairs, conservative estimate would be 0.5% of property value / year.
- transaction fees
- fire insurance and all those things that you only have to buy if homeowner.
- the cost of opportunity for the deposit
- the cost of having the money tied up in an asset that takes time to sell.
- the risk of your financial circumstances changing in 5 years and inability to remortgage at fair rates. landing on variable etc that would make monthly payments very difficult to digest for most
- the risk of having to sell earlier because you either have to relocate or wfh has turned into 3 days onsite and the client is 100mi away.
initially it was meant as slightly rhetorical question as the likelihood of a correction could be higher than expected. we've had a long period of happy go lucky but anyone sane asks themselves the same question: how long can they go? or how long can they keep it low?