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R>1

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  • minestrone
    replied
    Originally posted by AtW View Post

    Well, I was right about R>1.

    Latest number for hospitalisations I have is 5238 for 23 July, so 7 more days to go - will probably be at 6k+, less than what I thought, which is good, but what was your prediction? Oh you did not have one, so STFU then and let adults talk.
    au contraire...

    Vaccine - Contractor UK Bulletin Board

    My information has been flawless on covid.

    Leave a comment:


  • GigiBronz
    replied
    Originally posted by AtW View Post
    You don't just get many weeks of 30-40% growth in infection sand then suddely turning into 30-40% drop without any levelling off - does not happen naturally, and if it did then it must be first.

    My theory -

    1. "Pingdemic" bulltulip in the press and real pings (due to increased infections) made lots of young people delete app, so that they don't get pinged.
    2. Since they don't get pinged they'll be less likely taking a test that would have picked up asymptomatics (more likely among the young).
    3. YUGE DROP IN REPORTED INFECTIONS!

    Hospital admissions over next 4-6 weeks should show if this is correct.
    we had infection numbers accelerating week after week, it will be naive to expect for them to suddenly stop especially after freedom day & football final so close to each other. they are fiddling with the numbers or making them somehow disappear. We just don't know how yet...

    could be them youngsters innit roaming the towns and deleting apps or they've hired someone very competent for the job of adding up cells in excel...

    Leave a comment:


  • AtW
    replied
    Originally posted by minestrone View Post
    Like any of your predictions have been remotely right.
    Well, I was right about R>1.

    Latest number for hospitalisations I have is 5238 for 23 July, so 7 more days to go - will probably be at 6k+, less than what I thought, which is good, but what was your prediction? Oh you did not have one, so STFU then and let adults talk.

    Leave a comment:


  • minestrone
    replied

    Originally posted by AtW View Post
    You don't just get many weeks of 30-40% growth in infection sand then suddely turning into 30-40% drop without any levelling off - does not happen naturally, and if it did then it must be first.

    My theory -

    1. "Pingdemic" bulltulip in the press and real pings (due to increased infections) made lots of young people delete app, so that they don't get pinged.
    2. Since they don't get pinged they'll be less likely taking a test that would have picked up asymptomatics (more likely among the young).
    3. YUGE DROP IN REPORTED INFECTIONS!

    Hospital admissions over next 4-6 weeks should show if this is correct.
    Like any of your predictions have been remotely right.

    Originally posted by AtW View Post
    Prediction: hospitalisation numbers will be well above 10k by end of July.

    1st July number - 1905.

    Leave a comment:


  • GigiBronz
    replied
    Originally posted by minestrone View Post
    It's falling because 91% of us have antibodies and we have one of the highest take ups for vaccines that we have known for 9 months are 90% effective in stopping you getting it.

    This thread has been one long bed wetting session for the CUK deranged. No surprise AtW is bang in the middle of it.
    sorry matey but if you believe in any of the policies of this gov and how society works today is in your interest I think you are the deranged one...

    most of they people vaccinated initially with AZ - higher risk groups that got it through first wave or >6m ago might not have much immunity left from the vaccine + delta variant coming along.
    obviously I would wish that you are right and I am very wrong because there might be serious economical and political issues coming after it but I also think it is not wise to write everything off for now.

    Leave a comment:


  • AtW
    replied
    You don't just get many weeks of 30-40% growth in infection sand then suddely turning into 30-40% drop without any levelling off - does not happen naturally, and if it did then it must be first.

    My theory -

    1. "Pingdemic" bulltulip in the press and real pings (due to increased infections) made lots of young people delete app, so that they don't get pinged.
    2. Since they don't get pinged they'll be less likely taking a test that would have picked up asymptomatics (more likely among the young).
    3. YUGE DROP IN REPORTED INFECTIONS!

    Hospital admissions over next 4-6 weeks should show if this is correct.

    Leave a comment:


  • minestrone
    replied
    It's falling because 91% of us have antibodies and we have one of the highest take ups for vaccines that we have known for 9 months are 90% effective in stopping you getting it.

    This thread has been one long bed wetting session for the CUK deranged. No surprise AtW is bang in the middle of it.

    Leave a comment:


  • dsc
    replied
    There's a massive drop in cases across the whole of UK, which on one hand is great, assuming it's all true, but on the other hand no one seems to know the definite reason which is kind of bad as all the covidiots will be now saying scientists don't understand anything.

    Leave a comment:


  • AtW
    replied
    I call BULLtulip on current infection numbers.

    Leave a comment:


  • SueEllen
    replied
    Apparently if you want to watch the US you should watch the Covid statistics of the states of Vermont and Alabama.

    Leave a comment:

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